Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Heraklion (Greece), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Amit Vales		Keegan Smith

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	3.39	1.29
	3.25	1.33
	3.03	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.5)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amit Vales
29.2%

Keegan Smith
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amit Vales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amit Vales's form might have worsened.

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amit Vales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keegan Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Vales is ranked ATP: 916. Smith is ranked ATP: 541.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Vales could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Smith is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Dominick Mosejczuk - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Axel Nefve - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Gage Brymer - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Andres Delgadillo - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Garrett Johns - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL
- Keegan Smith
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Alexis Canter - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Miles Jones - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Stefan Latinovic - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Edas Butvilas - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
10.10.26	Jakub Filip - Amit Vales	✺

Amit Vales - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide