Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Budapest (Hungary), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday


	Amit Vales		Martyn Pawelski

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	3.2	1.29
	3.25	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.08	1.34	Watch
	3.2	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.5)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amit Vales
29.1%

Martyn Pawelski
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amit Vales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amit Vales's form might have worsened.

Martyn Pawelski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martyn Pawelski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amit Vales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martyn Pawelski than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martyn Pawelski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Amit Vales - Martyn Pawelski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vales is ranked ATP: 1027. Pawelski is ranked ATP: 659.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Pawelski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pawelski will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
27.08.24	Amit Vales - Peter Sallay	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Iliyan Radulov - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
18.07.24	Amit Vales - Vishnu Vardhan	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Amit Vales - Jesse Delaney	2:0 ✺
15.07.24	Amit Vales - Yuta Kawahashi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWW
- Martyn Pawelski
ITF Tournaments
28.08.24	Maxwell McKennon - Martyn Pawelski	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Louis Wessels - Martyn Pawelski	Wessels L. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.24	Vit Kopriva - Martyn Pawelski	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.24	Martyn Pawelski - Zoran Ludoski	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Martyn Pawelski - Samuel Puskar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 W?LLW

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