Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova		Naomi Osaka

	1	2
	2.75	1.44
	2.9	1.4
	2.79	1.42	Watch
	2.97	1.45
			Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.86	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.96)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
33.3%

Naomi Osaka
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Naomi Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Pavlyuchenkova will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Osaka will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlyuchenkova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Pavlyuchenkova (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Pavlyuchenkova (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlyuchenkova (votes: 3 - 60%). Osaka (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pavlyuchenkova is ranked WTA: 50. Osaka is ranked WTA: 53.

Pavlyuchenkova is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Osaka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Osaka is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pavlyuchenkova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Ashlyn Krueger - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
27.06.25	Maya Joint - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Kimberly Birrell - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Naomi Osaka
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Naomi Osaka - Katerina Siniakova	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Naomi Osaka - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
24.06.25	Naomi Osaka - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Naomi Osaka - Olga Danilovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
17.06.25	Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
07.02.21	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Naomi Osaka	0:2
WTA Osaka
21.09.19	Naomi Osaka - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:0
WTA Hopman Cup
03.01.18	Naomi Osaka - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:1
WTA Hong Kong
13.10.17	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Naomi Osaka	2:0

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Naomi Osaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide