Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Berlin, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday


	Naomi Osaka		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.98	1.8
			Watch
	1.96	1.9
			Watch
	2	1.8
	2.02	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.32)	1.85 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
48.3%

Ludmilla Samsonova
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naomi Osaka's performance.

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludmilla Samsonova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naomi Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludmilla Samsonova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Samsonova will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Samsonova (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Osaka (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 2 - 50%). Samsonova (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 52. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 18.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Samsonova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.25	Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
WTA Roma
12.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Marie Bouzkova - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa	Canceled ✺
07.05.25	Sara Errani - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLW?W
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Hertogenbosch
11.06.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Carson Branstine	1:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Qinwen Zheng	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Dayana Yastremska - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
26.05.25	Mayar Sherif - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
20.03.25	Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0
WTA Madrid
25.04.24	Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.24	Ludmilla Samsonova - Naomi Osaka	0:2

Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide