Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Andre Ilagan		Sebastian Dominko

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.55	2.33	Watch
			Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.33	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.33)	2.68 ↓ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andre Ilagan
64.9%

Sebastian Dominko
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andre Ilagan's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Dominko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Dominko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Dominko than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Andre Ilagan - Sebastian Dominko Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ilagan will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Dominko will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dominko: 65% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Dominko (4.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Dominko (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Dominko (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Dominko (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Dominko will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilagan (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Dominko (votes: 11 - 91.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ilagan is ranked ATP: 422. Dominko is ranked ATP: 1040.

Ilagan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dominko's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ilagan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ilagan is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Andre Ilagan - Trevor Svajda	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Yibing Wu - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Matthew Rankin - Andre Ilagan	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Aidan Mayo - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Sebastian Dominko
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Daniel Milavsky - Sebastian Dominko	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sebastian Dominko - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.25	Sebastian Dominko - Sean Cuenin	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Tilen Kovac - Sebastian Dominko	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Eero Vasa - Sebastian Dominko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL

Andre Ilagan - Sebastian Dominko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide