Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Andrea Arnaboldi		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.65	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.69	1.5
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.29)	1.47 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Arnaboldi
36.2%

Luca Nardi
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Arnaboldi's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Arnaboldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Nardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Andrea Arnaboldi - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Nardi will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaboldi: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Arnaboldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arnaboldi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
10.12.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Michail Pervolarakis	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Gijs Brouwer	2:1 ✺
07.12.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Raul Brancaccio	Brancaccio R. retired ✺
30.11.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
25.11.21	Filippo Baldi - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WW?LL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
10.12.21	Luca Nardi - Aldin Setkic	2:0 ✺
08.12.21	Luca Nardi - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
07.12.21	Andrea Vavassori - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
30.11.21	Vitaliy Sachko - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
27.11.21	Daniel Masur - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLL

Andrea Arnaboldi - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide