Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland (New Zealand) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday


	Daniel Masur		Luca Nardi

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.28
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.62	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
	3.35	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.81)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Masur
27.4%

Luca Nardi
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Masur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Masur's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Masur than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Daniel Masur - Luca Nardi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Masur is ranked ATP: 254. Nardi is ranked ATP: 92.

Recent matches Masur is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nardi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Nardi to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Masur won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Masur
ATP Challenger
21.11.24	Daniel Masur - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
20.11.24	Raphael Collignon - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
15.11.24	Patrick Zahraj - Daniel Masur	2:1 ✺
13.11.24	Alfredo Perez - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
11.11.24	Daniel Masur - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
24.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Martin Landaluce - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
22.11.24	Oleg Prihodko - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
21.11.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
19.11.24	Giovanni Fonio - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.11.21	Daniel Masur - Luca Nardi	2:1

Daniel Masur - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide