Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TURIN 2 (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 18 May 2023, Thursday


	Andrea Collarini		Federico Gaio

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.76	2.13
	1.73	2
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
54%

Federico Gaio
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Andrea Collarini - Federico Gaio Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Collarini will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gaio will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Collarini: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gaio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Collarini won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
15.05.23	Tomas Machac - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Andrea Collarini - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.23	Andrea Collarini - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
28.04.23	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLLW
- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Gaio	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
16.05.23	Federico Gaio - Oscar Otte	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Federico Gaio - Andrea Gola	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Federico Gaio - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
04.05.23	Filip Krajinovic - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Andrea Collarini - Federico Gaio	0:2
07.05.21	Federico Gaio - Andrea Collarini	1:2
ATP Australian Open
11.01.18	Federico Gaio - Andrea Collarini	1:2

Andrea Collarini - Federico Gaio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide