Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TURIN 2 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Federico Gaio

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.75	2.12
	1.71	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.86)	2.04 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
54.2%

Federico Gaio
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Gaio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Gaio Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Gaio will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaio: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Gaio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Nerman Fatic - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.23	Maximilian Marterer - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Sebastian Ofner - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
02.05.23	Jelle Sels - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
18.04.23	Alex Michelsen - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL
- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Federico Gaio - Oscar Otte	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Federico Gaio - Andrea Gola	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Federico Gaio - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
04.05.23	Filip Krajinovic - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Federico Gaio - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.03.23	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Gaio	1:2

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Gaio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide