Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Fe, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 June 2025, Friday


	Andrea Collarini		Hernan Casanova

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.42	3.03
			Watch
			Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	2.93 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
67.8%

Hernan Casanova
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Collarini's performance.

Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hernan Casanova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Collarini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hernan Casanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Collarini is ranked ATP: 231. Casanova is ranked ATP: 475.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collarini won 3.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Casanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Collarini might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Collarini won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Andrea Collarini - Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Andrea Collarini - Nicolas Kicker	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.25	Andrea Collarini - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Andrea Collarini - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WW?LW
- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
12.06.25	Maximus Jones - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Hernan Casanova - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Hernan Casanova - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Hernan Casanova - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Hernan Casanova - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.06.24	Andrea Collarini - Hernan Casanova	Canceled
21.04.24	Andrea Collarini - Hernan Casanova	2:0
16.01.24	Hernan Casanova - Andrea Collarini	0:2
27.09.22	Hernan Casanova - Andrea Collarini	2:1
22.09.22	Andrea Collarini - Hernan Casanova	0:2
01.12.21	Andrea Collarini - Hernan Casanova	Casanova H. retired
ATP Santiago
06.03.21	Hernan Casanova - Andrea Collarini	2:1

Andrea Collarini - Hernan Casanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide