Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Hernan Casanova		Miguel Tobon

	1	2
	1.18	4.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.18	4.2	Watch
	1.23	4.24
	1.23	3.97	Watch
			Watch
	1.21	4.28	Watch
	1.18	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.47)	4.23 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hernan Casanova
77.9%

Miguel Tobon
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hernan Casanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hernan Casanova's performance.

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Tobon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hernan Casanova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Tobon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Hernan Casanova - Miguel Tobon Predictions

Users Predictions: Hernan Casanova will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Casanova is ranked ATP: 503. Tobon is ranked ATP: 875.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Casanova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Casanova might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Mateus Alves - Hernan Casanova	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Hernan Casanova - Nicolas Kicker	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Hernan Casanova	Rodriguez Taverna S. retired ✺
01.05.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Hernan Casanova - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WL?LW
- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Daniel Antonio Nunez - Miguel Tobon	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Miguel Tobon - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Patrick Zahraj - Miguel Tobon	Zahraj P. retired ✺
15.04.25	Aidan Mayo - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Miguel Tobon - Isaiah Strode	Strode I. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WL?W?

Hernan Casanova - Miguel Tobon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide