Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Andrea Collarini		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.03	1.70	Watch
	2.01	1.7	Watch
	2.29	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.35)	1.66 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
44.2%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Collarini that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Prado Angelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Andrea Collarini - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Collarini will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Prado Angelo will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Carlos Prado Angelo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Collarini is ranked ATP: 272. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 228.

Collarini is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Prado Angelo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Prado Angelo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Prado Angelo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Collarini won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Collarini - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.43%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Maximo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Mariano Kestelboim	Canceled ✺
11.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWW?L
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Federico Zeballos	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Andrea Collarini	2:1
02.04.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Andrea Collarini	2:1

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