Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	2.15	1.65
	2.21	1.64
	2.26	1.68
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.05	1.72
	2.13	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.12)	1.67 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
43.9%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 154. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 147.

Prado Angelo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barrios Vera has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Barrios Vera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Prado Angelo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.01%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Andres Andrade	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Hugo Dellien	Dellien H. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWL?
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Dylan Dietrich - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Niels Visker	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2
12.10.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0

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