Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Billy Harris

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.67	1.49
	1.63	2.17	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.56	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.13)	1.55 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
38.1%

Billy Harris
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Guerrieri's performance.

Billy Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Billy Harris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Guerrieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Billy Harris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andrea Guerrieri - Billy Harris Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guerrieri (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Guerrieri (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guerrieri (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 573. Harris is ranked ATP: 125.

Guerrieri is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Harris has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guerrieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Harris is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guerrieri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Petros Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Flynn Thomas	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Marc Van Der Merwe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW
- Billy Harris
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
01.11.25	Billy Harris - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Alexander Blockx - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Jan Choinski - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
11.10.25	Billy Harris - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Billy Harris - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2

Andrea Guerrieri - Billy Harris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide