Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.7	1.41
	2.49	1.49
	2.49	1.5
	2.5	1.5
	2.47	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.89)	1.48 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
37.1%

Giovanni Fonio
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Guerrieri's performance.

Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giovanni Fonio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Guerrieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giovanni Fonio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Guerrieri is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fonio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guerrieri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fonio is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guerrieri won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ITF Tournaments
14.05.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Andrea Militi Ribaldi	Militi Ribaldi A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
09.05.24	Titouan Droguet - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
07.05.24	Billy Harris - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
06.05.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 ?LWWW
- Giovanni Fonio
ITF Tournaments
13.05.24	Federico Iannaccone - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.05.24	Jiri Vesely - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
09.05.24	Giovanni Fonio - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
08.05.24	Giovanni Fonio - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Giovanni Fonio - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.06.21	Andrea Guerrieri - Giovanni Fonio	1:2

Andrea Guerrieri - Giovanni Fonio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide