Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sarreguemines (France), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Lucas Gerch

	1	2
	1.83	1.85
	1.84	1.83
	1.84	1.92
	1.86	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.84	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.08)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
50.1%

Lucas Gerch
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Guerrieri's performance.

Lucas Gerch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucas Gerch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Guerrieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Gerch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andrea Guerrieri - Lucas Gerch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 566. Gerch is ranked ATP: 472.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Guerrieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ITF Tournaments
24.10.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Antoine Cornut-Chauvinc	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Milan Welte	2:1 ✺
02.10.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Jay Clarke - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWL
- Lucas Gerch
ITF Tournaments
24.10.24	Elmar Ejupovic - Lucas Gerch	1:2 ✺
23.10.24	Antoine Berger - Lucas Gerch	0:2 ✺
16.10.24	Lucas Gerch - Roland Stuurman	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.24	Adrian Andreev - Lucas Gerch	2:1 ✺
10.09.24	Martin Krumich - Lucas Gerch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW

Andrea Guerrieri - Lucas Gerch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide