Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sarreguemines (France), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Milan Welte

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.7	1.99
	1.78	1.96
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.71	2.01	Watch
	1.7	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.45)	1.97 ↓ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
53.1%

Milan Welte
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Guerrieri's form might have worsened.

Milan Welte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan Welte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Guerrieri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan Welte than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan Welte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andrea Guerrieri - Milan Welte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 566. Welte is ranked ATP: 955.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Welte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guerrieri will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guerrieri won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ITF Tournaments
02.10.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Jay Clarke - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Samuele Pieri - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW
- Milan Welte
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Milan Welte - Maxence Beauge	0:2 ✺
16.10.24	Milan Welte - Jannik Opitz	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Milan Welte - Antoine Hoang	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Milan Welte - Charlie Camus	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Milan Welte - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.03.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Milan Welte	2:1

Andrea Guerrieri - Milan Welte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide