Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Trento, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.71	2.15
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	2.11 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
55.9%

Michele Ribecai
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Guerrieri's performance.

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michele Ribecai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Guerrieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michele Ribecai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andrea Guerrieri - Michele Ribecai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 485. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 412.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Guerrieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guerrieri might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Guerrieri - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Michele Ribecai - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
03.02.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Niels Visker	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Alastair Gray - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Martin Krumich - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLW
- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Michele Ribecai - James Kent Trotter	1:2 ✺
26.01.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Michele Ribecai - Ethan Cook	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Michele Ribecai - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Michele Ribecai - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL

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