Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Andrea Lazaro Garcia		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.28
	3.33	1.29
	3.27	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.32	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.99)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Lazaro Garcia
28.4%

Maria Lourdes Carle
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Lazaro Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Lazaro Garcia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lazaro Garcia is ranked WTA: 209. Carle is ranked WTA: 118.

Two players are playing changeable.

Carle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carle is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lazaro Garcia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Lazaro Garcia
ITF Tournaments
09.04.25	Chloe Paquet - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.25	Sinja Kraus - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Ruth Roura Llaverias - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Lois Boisson	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	Mintegi Del Olmo A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLW?
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ITF Tournaments
11.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Tyra Caterina Grant	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Nao Hibino	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Darja Semenistaja - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Barbora Palicova - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.10.21	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Maria Lourdes Carle	1:2

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