Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: La Bisbal D'Emporda, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Darja Semenistaja		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	4	1.21	Watch
	4.08	1.22	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	4.02	1.22	Watch
	4	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.16)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darja Semenistaja
23.6%

Maria Lourdes Carle
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darja Semenistaja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darja Semenistaja's form might have worsened.

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Lourdes Carle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Darja Semenistaja - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 165. Carle is ranked WTA: 99.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Semenistaja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carle is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Semenistaja won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darja Semenistaja
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Celia Cervino Ruiz - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Rebeka Masarova - Darja Semenistaja	Canceled ✺
26.03.25	Darja Semenistaja - Anca Alexia Todoni	Canceled ✺
20.03.25	Darja Semenistaja - Clara Burel	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Elena Pridankina - Darja Semenistaja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 W??LW
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Barbora Palicova - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Veronika Erjavec	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Ana Bogdan	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.10.20	Maria Lourdes Carle - Darja Semenistaja	2:1

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