Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2025, Thursday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Federico Bondioli

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.68	2.02	Watch
			Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.08	Watch
	1.68	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.31)	2.02 ↓ (3.2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
54.2%

Federico Bondioli
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Pellegrino's form might have worsened.

Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Bondioli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+20.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Bondioli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Bondioli Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Bondioli will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bondioli: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 2 - 50%). Bondioli (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 173. Bondioli is ranked ATP: 453.

Pellegrino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bondioli is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bondioli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pellegrino could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
03.06.25	Marko Topo - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Campana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW
- Federico Bondioli
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Federico Bondioli - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
29.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Federico Bondioli	2:1 ✺
27.05.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW

Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Bondioli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide