Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.41	1.61
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
	2.35	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.23)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
39.5%

Daniel Altmaier
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Altmaier will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 167. Altmaier is ranked ATP: 71.

Pellegrino is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Altmaier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Altmaier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Altmaier could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pellegrino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Federico Campana	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Daniel Altmaier - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Daniel Altmaier - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2

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