Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANREMO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2023, Monday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.4	1.57
	2.42	1.59
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.37	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.59)	1.55 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
39.5%

Matteo Gigante
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Pellegrino's form might have worsened.

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Gigante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Gigante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Andrea Pellegrino - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gigante will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gigante: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Pellegrino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gigante will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pellegrino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
17.03.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
16.03.23	Jose Pereira - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
14.03.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
07.03.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
24.03.23	Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Matteo Gigante - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	Julian Ocleppo - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
06.03.23	Otto Virtanen - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
20.02.23	Matteo Gigante - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.05.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Matteo Gigante	2:1

Andrea Pellegrino - Matteo Gigante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide