Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Otto Virtanen		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.6	2.28
	1.65	2.27
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.91)	2.29 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
59.2%

Matteo Gigante
40.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Otto Virtanen's performance.

Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Gigante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Otto Virtanen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Gigante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	0%	4.3%

Otto Virtanen - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Users Predictions: Otto Virtanen will win (45 of 47 users predict this - 95.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.97% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Virtanen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gigante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Virtanen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Doha
19.02.23	Damir Dzumhur - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.23	Otto Virtanen - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
09.02.23	Antoine Escoffier - Otto Virtanen	Virtanen O. retired ✺
07.02.23	Otto Virtanen - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWL?W
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
20.02.23	Matteo Gigante - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Matteo Gigante - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Matteo Gigante - Riccardo Bonadio	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Matteo Gigante - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Otto Virtanen	✺

Otto Virtanen - Matteo Gigante