Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia (Portugal), clay (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Andrej Martin		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.1	1.33
	3.2	1.31	Watch
	3.42	1.34
	3.39	1.34	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.32	Watch
	3.2	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.8)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
28.8%

Francesco Passaro
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Andrej Martin - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Martin will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Passaro will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martin: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 509. Passaro is ranked ATP: 114.

Martin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Passaro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Passaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Passaro is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
28.11.24	Pedro Araujo - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
27.11.24	Andrej Martin - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
25.11.24	Vilius Gaubas - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Johannes Ingildsen - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.10.24	Andrej Martin - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
29.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
03.10.24	Elmer Moeller - Francesco Passaro	Moeller E. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWL?

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