Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Francesco Passaro		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.15	Watch
	1.63	2.35
	1.6	2.34	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)	2.23 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
58%

Vilius Gaubas
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Francesco Passaro - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gaubas will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 159. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 127.

In recent matches, Passaro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gaubas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Passaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Passaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.37%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Elmer Moller - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Francesco Passaro - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Francesco Passaro - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Amit Vales - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Ofek Shimanov - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Martin Damm - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Vilius Gaubas	2:1

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