Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 (Italy), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday


	Andrej Martin		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
	1.8	1.87
	1.83	1.84
	1.96	1.81
	1.85	1.86	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.49)	1.85 ↓ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
50%

Petr Nesterov
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrej Martin's form might have worsened.

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrej Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andrej Martin - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 544. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 407.

Recent matches Martin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nesterov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nesterov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Andrej Martin - Iannis Miletich	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Daniel Rincon - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Kiyan Santino Kasemi - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Andrej Martin - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.24	Jiri Vesely - Andrej Martin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Lukas Neumayer - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Sebastian Fanselow	1:2 ✺
07.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Paolo Schiavone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW

Andrej Martin - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide