Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2024, Thursday


	Petr Nesterov		Kirill Kivattsev

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.15	1.6
	2.23	1.63
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.18	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.84)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
42.5%

Kirill Kivattsev
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Petr Nesterov's form might have worsened.

Kirill Kivattsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kirill Kivattsev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kirill Kivattsev than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kirill Kivattsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Petr Nesterov - Kirill Kivattsev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 407. Kivattsev is ranked ATP: 532.

Recent matches Nesterov is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kivattsev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kivattsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nesterov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
16.10.24	Lukas Neumayer - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Sebastian Fanselow	1:2 ✺
07.10.24	Petr Nesterov - Paolo Schiavone	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Petr Nesterov - Tom Gentzsch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWL
- Kirill Kivattsev
ITF Tournaments
16.10.24	Kirill Kivattsev - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
14.10.24	Michele Ribecai - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Kirill Kivattsev - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Dragos Nicolae Cazacu - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Francesco Ferrari - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.07.22	Petr Nesterov - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1

Petr Nesterov - Kirill Kivattsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide