Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Andrej Nedic		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.39	3.19
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.84)	2.75 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Nedic
65.7%

Jelle Sels
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Nedic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrej Nedic's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrej Nedic than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrej Nedic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrej Nedic - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nedic will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nedic is ranked ATP: 296. Sels is ranked ATP: 450.

Nedic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sels has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nedic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrej Nedic - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Nedic
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Jonas Forejtek - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Andrej Nedic - Emanuel Ivanisevic	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	James Watt - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Anton Shepp - Andrej Nedic	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.01.26	Radu David Turcanu - Andrej Nedic	Nedic A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLW?
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
16.03.26	Jelle Sels - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Jelle Sels - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Jelle Sels - Moise Kouame	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Kei Nishikori - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Timeo Trufelli - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

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