Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Moise Kouame

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.28	Watch
	3.84	1.29
	3.36	1.28
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	2.7	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.7)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
28.2%

Moise Kouame
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelle Sels's form might have worsened.

Moise Kouame has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moise Kouame's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moise Kouame than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moise Kouame, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Jelle Sels - Moise Kouame Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kouame (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Moise Kouame will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 343. Kouame is ranked ATP: 393.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kouame will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Kei Nishikori - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Timeo Trufelli - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.02.26	Mae Malige - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Jakub Filip - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Matt Ponchet - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW
- Moise Kouame
ATP Challenger
25.02.26	Moise Kouame - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Moise Kouame - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Moise Kouame - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Moise Kouame	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Moise Kouame - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW

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