Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrej Nedic		Milos Karol

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.64
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	2.61 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Nedic
64.2%

Milos Karol
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Nedic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrej Nedic's performance.

Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milos Karol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrej Nedic than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrej Nedic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milos Karol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andrej Nedic - Milos Karol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nedic is ranked ATP: 287. Karol is ranked ATP: 412.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nedic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nedic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nedic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Milos Karol - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Nedic
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Andrej Nedic - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Andrej Nedic - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Jonas Forejtek - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Andrej Nedic - Emanuel Ivanisevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Milos Karol - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Milos Karol - Adrian Oetzbach	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.03.26	Milos Karol - Anton Shepp	Karol M. retired ✺
13.03.26	Milos Karol - Patrick Schoen	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Milos Karol - Younes Lalami Laaroussi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.05.24	Milos Karol - Andrej Nedic	2:1

Andrej Nedic - Milos Karol