Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liege, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Andres Santamarta Roig		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	2.15	1.62
	2.05	1.73
	2.15	1.73
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.12	1.71
	2.05	1.67
	2.05	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.23)	1.69 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andres Santamarta Roig
44.7%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Santamarta Roig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Santamarta Roig than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andres Santamarta Roig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gilles Arnaud Bailly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Andres Santamarta Roig - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bailly will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Santamarta Roig is ranked ATP: 782. Bailly is ranked ATP: 210.

Santamarta Roig has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bailly is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Santamarta Roig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Santamarta Roig
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Ognjen Milic	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWLWW
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Henri Squire - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Cosme Rolland de Ravel	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Aristotelis Thanos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Andres Santamarta Roig - Gilles Arnaud Bailly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide