Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Pece D. (Ita)


	Andrew Paulson		Ergi Kirkin

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.56	2.33
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.28	Watch
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.72)	2.28 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Paulson
59.1%

Ergi Kirkin
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Paulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrew Paulson's performance.

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ergi Kirkin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Andrew Paulson - Ergi Kirkin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paulson is ranked ATP: 359. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 265.

Paulson is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kirkin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kirkin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paulson will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Paulson
ATP Challenger
06.08.24	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
03.08.24	Andrew Paulson - Elmer Moeller	0:2 ✺
01.08.24	Jerome Kym - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
30.07.24	Andrew Paulson - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.24	Andrew Paulson - Stefano DAgostino	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWW?
- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
05.08.24	Ergi Kirkin - Oliver Crawford	2:1 ✺
30.07.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Ergi Kirkin	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.24	Deney Wassermann - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
10.07.24	Fons Van Sambeek - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLW

Andrew Paulson - Ergi Kirkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide