Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Andrew Paulson		Michael Vrbensky

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.69
	2.22	1.69
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.92)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Paulson
44.2%

Michael Vrbensky
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Paulson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Michael Vrbensky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Andrew Paulson - Michael Vrbensky Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vrbensky (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paulson is ranked ATP: 648. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 567.

In recent matches, Vrbensky has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paulson won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Vrbensky - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.31%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Paulson
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Tiago Pereira - Andrew Paulson	Paulson A. retired ✺
07.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Andrew Paulson	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Andrew Paulson - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Marko Topo - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 ?LWWW
- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Michael Vrbensky - Laurent Lokoli	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Matej Dodig - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Michael Vrbensky - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Michael Vrbensky - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Jacopo Berrettini - Michael Vrbensky	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Andrew Paulson - Michael Vrbensky	2:1
ITF Tournaments
23.06.23	Michael Vrbensky - Andrew Paulson	0:2

Andrew Paulson - Michael Vrbensky: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide