Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oeiras 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jacopo Berrettini		Michael Vrbensky

	1	2
			Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.61	2.36
	1.41	2.74	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.61	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.51)	2.34 ↓ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Berrettini
60.1%

Michael Vrbensky
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Michael Vrbensky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Jacopo Berrettini - Michael Vrbensky Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vrbensky will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 1 - 50%). Vrbensky (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Berrettini (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 3 - 75%). Vrbensky (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 308. Vrbensky is ranked ATP: 589.

Berrettini will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Berrettini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Berrettini
ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Alexandre Aubriot - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
06.11.25	Maxence Beauge - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW
- Michael Vrbensky
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Woobin Shin - Michael Vrbensky	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Michael Vrbensky - Thijmen Loof	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Michael Vrbensky - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Kasidit Samrej - Michael Vrbensky	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.04.24	Michael Vrbensky - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2

Jacopo Berrettini - Michael Vrbensky