Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2025, Wednesday


	Andrey Chepelev		Josip Simundza

	1	2
	1.28	3.2
			Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.3	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	3.33 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
72.1%

Josip Simundza
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Josip Simundza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Josip Simundza than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Preview

Chepelev is ranked ATP: 630. Simundza is ranked ATP: 885.

Chepelev has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Simundza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Simundza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chepelev is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chepelev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
28.05.25	Andrey Chepelev - Petr Brunclik	1:2 ✺
22.05.25	Andrey Chepelev - Bor Artnak	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Josip Simundza - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Andrey Chepelev - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Andrey Chepelev - Giovanni Oradini	Oradini G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWL?
- Josip Simundza
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Alec Beckley - Josip Simundza	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Josip Simundza - Ziga Sesko	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Josip Simundza - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Josip Simundza - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
15.05.25	Josip Simundza - Michel Hopp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.05.25	Josip Simundza - Andrey Chepelev	0:2
07.01.25	Josip Simundza - Andrey Chepelev	2:1

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