Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 6, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Andrey Chepelev		Ivan Gakhov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.5
	2.87	1.38
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	2.89	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.5)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
33.6%

Ivan Gakhov
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Ivan Gakhov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Andrey Chepelev - Ivan Gakhov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chepelev is ranked ATP: 629. Gakhov is ranked ATP: 317.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chepelev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gakhov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chepelev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
05.05.25	Andrey Chepelev - Giovanni Oradini	Oradini G. retired ✺
29.04.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Andrey Chepelev - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Andrey Chepelev - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 ?LLWW
- Ivan Gakhov
ITF Tournaments
06.05.25	Filippo Giovannini - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Giovanni Fonio - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.04.25	Ivan Gakhov - Sergi Perez Contri	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Ivan Gakhov - Thomas Deschamps	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Norbert Gombos - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Ivan Gakhov - Andrey Chepelev	2:1
ITF Tournaments
02.06.21	Ivan Gakhov - Andrey Chepelev	2:0
11.11.20	Ivan Gakhov - Andrey Chepelev	2:1

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