Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 44 (Tunisia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday


	Andrey Chepelev		Lasse Poertner

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.88	1.79
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.91	1.79	Watch
	1.88	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.61)	1.79 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
48.6%

Lasse Poertner
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrey Chepelev's form might have worsened.

Lasse Poertner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lasse Poertner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrey Chepelev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lasse Poertner than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lasse Poertner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andrey Chepelev - Lasse Poertner Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chepelev is ranked ATP: 771. Poertner is ranked ATP: 1056.

Chepelev is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Poertner is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chepelev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chepelev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
24.10.24	Bogdan Bobrov - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Andrey Chepelev - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Alexander Zgirovsky - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Luca Wiedenmann - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Alexandre Aubriot - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL
- Lasse Poertner
ITF Tournaments
23.10.24	Bogdan Bobrov - Lasse Poertner	Poertner L. retired ✺
17.10.24	Lasse Poertner - Jakub Filip	1:2 ✺
16.10.24	Lasse Poertner - Gabriele Volpi	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Olle Wallin - Lasse Poertner	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Filip Pieczonka - Lasse Poertner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?LWLW

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