Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 CASLANO (SWITZERLAND), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 25 August 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: CASLANO (SWITZERLAND) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrey Chepelev		Luca Giacomini

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Andrey Chepelev
55.3%

Luca Giacomini
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Luca Giacomini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Giacomini than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

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Chepelev is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Giacomini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chepelev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
24.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Jan Sebesta	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Sam Kydd Baumgartner	Baumgartner S. retired ✺
18.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Maxime Mora	0:2 ✺
17.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
15.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Henry Von Der Schulenburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 W?LWW
- Luca Giacomini
ITF Tournaments
24.08.23	Lorenzo Vatteroni - Luca Giacomini	0:2 ✺
22.08.23	Nicolas Parizzia - Luca Giacomini	0:2 ✺
10.08.23	Dusan Obradovic - Luca Giacomini	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Jan Kupcic - Luca Giacomini	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Cezar Cretu - Luca Giacomini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Andrey Chepelev - Luca Giacomini