Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 KURSUMLIJSKA BANJA 9 (SERBIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday


	Andrey Chepelev		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
	1.98	1.79
	2	1.73
	1.89	1.82	Watch
	1.96	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)	1.77 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
47.5%

Luka Pavlovic
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrey Chepelev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luka Pavlovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Chepelev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pavlovic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pavlovic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chepelev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Andrey Chepelev - Gabriel Donev	2:0 ✺
20.09.23	Andrey Chepelev - Zoran Ludoski	2:1 ✺
14.09.23	Andrey Chepelev - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Andrey Chepelev - Viktor Jovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.23	Mats Moraing - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Luka Pavlovic
ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Mihai Alexandru Coman - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
19.09.23	Vuk Radjenovic - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Luka Pavlovic - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
15.09.23	Luka Pavlovic - Aldin Setkic	2:1 ✺
14.09.23	Andrey Chepelev - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.09.23	Andrey Chepelev - Luka Pavlovic	0:2
23.06.23	Andrey Chepelev - Luka Pavlovic	2:1

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