Match Info

Date: 29 August 2022, Monday


	Andrey Chepelev		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35
	1.5	2.37
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	2.42 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Chepelev
61.7%

Shintaro Mochizuki
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Andrey Chepelev - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chepelev will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

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Preview

Recent matches Chepelev is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mochizuki is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chepelev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chepelev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Chepelev
ATP Challenger
28.08.22	Andrey Chepelev - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
21.08.22	Andrey Chepelev - Ilya Snitari	0:2 ✺
08.08.22	Oleg Prihodko - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
07.08.22	Luca Potenza - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
05.08.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
28.08.22	Fernando Romboli - Shintaro Mochizuki	Romboli F. retired ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
21.08.22	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
20.08.22	Menelaos Efstathiou - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 ?LLWL

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