Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Andy Murray		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.23	1.66	Watch
	2.07	1.7
	2.18	1.77
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.28	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.44)	1.7 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andy Murray
44%

Casper Ruud
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andy Murray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andy Murray's performance.

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andy Murray that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casper Ruud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Andy Murray - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Murray will win (votes: 40 - 61.5%). Ruud will win (votes: 25 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Murray: 49.7% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ruud will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andy Murray
ATP San Diego
28.09.21	Denis Kudla - Andy Murray	0:2 ✺
28.09.21	Kei Nishikori - Andy Murray	Canceled ✺
ATP Metz
24.09.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
22.09.21	Vasek Pospisil - Andy Murray	0:2 ✺
21.09.21	Andy Murray - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 W?LWW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Laver Cup
24.09.21	Reilly Opelka - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
18.09.21	Casper Ruud - Denis Istomin	Canceled ✺
17.09.21	Casper Ruud - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.21	Casper Ruud - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:3 ✺
30.08.21	Casper Ruud - Yuichi Sugita	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?WLW

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