Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DUBAI (UNITED ARAB EMIRATES), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Andy Murray		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.35	Watch
	3.29	1.39
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.03	1.39	Watch
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.52)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andy Murray
31.1%

Ugo Humbert
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andy Murray's form might have worsened.

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ugo Humbert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Andy Murray - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Humbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Humbert is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Murray won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andy Murray
ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
21.02.24	Andy Murray - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Alexandre Muller - Andy Murray	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
06.02.24	Tomas Machac - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
29.01.24	Andy Murray - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Gael Monfils - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
22.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Emil Ruusuvuori - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
11.02.24	Ugo Humbert - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
21.09.21	Andy Murray - Ugo Humbert	2:1
ATP Antwerp
19.10.19	Andy Murray - Ugo Humbert	2:1

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