Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BASEL (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Andy Murray		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.55	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.56
	1.56	2.56
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.57	2.41	Watch
	1.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	2.51 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andy Murray
62%

Yannick Hanfmann
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andy Murray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yannick Hanfmann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Andy Murray - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Murray will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hanfmann: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hanfmann could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Murray will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andy Murray
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Roman Safiullin - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:1 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
23.09.23	Andy Murray - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
21.09.23	Andy Murray - Ye Cong Mo	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.23	Andy Murray - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Antwerp
20.10.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
19.10.23	Dominic Thiem - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Alexander Blockx - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	James Duckworth - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

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