Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BEIJING (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Alex De Minaur		Andy Murray

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.35	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.37	3.36
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.31	3.46	Watch
	1.36	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.34)	3.28 ↑ (3.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
71%

Andy Murray
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Murray will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Murray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match De Minaur is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
Davis Cup World Group
16.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
14.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
13.09.23	Alex De Minaur - Daniel Evans	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW
- Andy Murray
ATP Zhuhai
23.09.23	Andy Murray - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
21.09.23	Andy Murray - Ye Cong Mo	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.23	Andy Murray - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Andy Murray - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
29.08.23	Andy Murray - Corentin Moutet	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
20.06.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:0
ATP Laver Cup
23.09.22	Andy Murray - Alex De Minaur	1:2
ATP Zhuhai
26.09.19	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:1
ATP Washington
03.08.18	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	De Minaur A. walkover

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