Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Nogent-sur-Marne, clay - Final

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Ania Hertel		Lucie Nguyen Tan

	1	2
	2.45	1.53
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.35	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.54)	1.53 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ania Hertel
39.1%

Lucie Nguyen Tan
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ania Hertel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ania Hertel's form might have worsened.

Lucie Nguyen Tan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucie Nguyen Tan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ania Hertel than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ania Hertel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucie Nguyen Tan than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucie Nguyen Tan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ania Hertel - Lucie Nguyen Tan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nguyen Tan will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nguyen Tan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hertel is ranked WTA: 544. Nguyen Tan is ranked WTA: 1280.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Hertel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ania Hertel - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 59.37%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ania Hertel
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Diana Marcinkevica - Ania Hertel	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Ania Hertel - Savine Erler	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Ania Hertel - Anastasiia Firman	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Ania Hertel - Kim Chiarello	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Ania Hertel - Maja Pawelska	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Lucie Nguyen Tan
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Tamila Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide - Lucie Nguyen Tan	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Gergana Topalova	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Victoria Pohle	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWWWL

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