Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday


	Anna Kalinskaya		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.4	1.51
	2.56	1.56
	2.5	1.53
	2.46	1.55	Watch
	2.47	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.63)	1.54 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anna Kalinskaya
38.2%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anna Kalinskaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Anna Kalinskaya - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kalinskaya will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Kalinskaya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alexandrova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kalinskaya won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 0-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anna Kalinskaya
WTA Guangzhou
19.09.23	Anna Kalinskaya - Viktoria Hruncakova	1:2
19.09.23	Anna Kalinskaya - Lin Zhu	Canceled ✺
WTA Osaka
14.09.23	Ashlyn Krueger - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
12.09.23	Anna Kalinskaya - Harriet Dart	2:0 ✺
12.09.23	Jule Niemeier - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 L?LWW
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Guadalajara
20.09.23	Caroline Dolehide - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Magdalena Frech - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA San Diego
12.09.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
02.09.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Marketa Vondrousova	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Lesia Tsurenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Berlin
14.06.21	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0
WTA Moscow
16.10.19	Anna Kalinskaya - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2
WTA St Petersburg
28.01.19	Anna Kalinskaya - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:1
ITF Tournaments
18.03.17	Anna Kalinskaya - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2

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