Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Antonia Schmidt		Jasmin Ortenzi

	1	2
	1.98	1.72
	1.95	1.79
	1.99	1.72	Watch
	2	1.73
	2	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.8)	1.74 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antonia Schmidt
46.7%

Jasmin Ortenzi
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antonia Schmidt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Jasmin Ortenzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antonia Schmidt than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Preview

Schmidt is ranked WTA: 397. Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 248.

In recent matches, Schmidt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ortenzi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Ortenzi will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Antonia Schmidt - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antonia Schmidt
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Antonia Schmidt - Georgia Pedone	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Iva Ivanova - Antonia Schmidt	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Antonia Schmidt - Ksenia Efremova	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Cristina Dinu - Antonia Schmidt	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Emma Lene - Antonia Schmidt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL
- Jasmin Ortenzi
ITF Tournaments
18.04.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Ekaterina Kazionova	Ortenzi J. retired ✺
17.04.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Carolina Bohrer Martins	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Maria Fernanda Lopes	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
09.04.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:0 ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Anastasia Tikhonova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?WWWL

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