Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Aoran Wang		Denis Yevseyev

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	5.68	1.13
	4.60	1.15	Watch
	5.35	1.13	Watch
	3.9	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (1.84)	1.16 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aoran Wang
19.1%

Denis Yevseyev
80.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aoran Wang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aoran Wang's form might have worsened.

Denis Yevseyev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Yevseyev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aoran Wang than the current prediction. (+30%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aoran Wang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (-30%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Aoran Wang - Denis Yevseyev Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Yevseyev will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Denis Yevseyev will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wang is ranked ATP: 1087. Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 341.

Wang has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Yevseyev has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Yevseyev - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aoran Wang
ATP Beijing
23.09.25	Quentin Halys - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Alexandr Binda - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Kasidit Samrej - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Aoran Wang - Theo Papamalamis	Wang A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLL?
- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Yaojie Zeng - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWL

Aoran Wang - Denis Yevseyev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide