Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Manama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Arantxa Rus		Carole Monnet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.50	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.69	2.02	Watch
	1.6	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	2.15 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
56.9%

Carole Monnet
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arantxa Rus's performance.

Carole Monnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carole Monnet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arantxa Rus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carole Monnet than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carole Monnet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arantxa Rus - Carole Monnet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rus is ranked WTA: 133. Monnet is ranked WTA: 175.

Rus is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monnet has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Arantxa Rus - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Carole Monnet - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
ITF Tournaments
21.01.26	Arantxa Rus - Varvara Panshina	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Arantxa Rus - Valentina Steiner	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
11.01.26	Olivia Gadecki - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.12.25	Arantxa Rus - Petra Marcinko	Rus A. retired ✺
03.12.25	Arantxa Rus - Arianne Hartono	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWL?W
- Carole Monnet
ITF Tournaments
21.01.26	Mai Hontama - Carole Monnet	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Rina Saigo - Carole Monnet	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
12.01.26	Carole Monnet - Elena Micic	1:2 ✺
WTA Auckland
02.01.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Carole Monnet	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Carole Monnet - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.08.22	Arantxa Rus - Carole Monnet	2:0

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